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What will be the outcome of the next Canadian federal election if triggered by a no confidence vote by end of 2025?
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Canadian•Justin Trudeau•Chrystia Freeland•Freeland•Parliament Hill•Trudeau•Parliament•Conservative•Pierre Poilievre•Canada•Liberal
Resolution / Starting Odds
Liberals win majority • 25%
Conservatives win majority • 25%
NDP wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
Official election results from Elections Canada
Story
Trudeau Considers Resignation or Prorogation After Freeland's Exit, Faces No Confidence Vote
Dec 16, 2024, 06:49 PM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is reportedly contemplating resignation or prorogation of Parliament following the unexpected resignation of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland. Freeland's departure, announced in a letter posted on social media, has ignited a storm of confusion on Parliament Hill, especially as it coincides with the scheduled tabling of the fall economic statement. Sources indicate Trudeau has conveyed these considerations to his cabinet, and he is potentially planning to address Parliament this afternoon. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has responded by considering a vote of no confidence against Trudeau, which could lead to an election if successful. The political landscape in Canada is currently in flux, with Trudeau's leadership under scrutiny and the Liberal government facing potential instability.
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Liberal Party wins majority • 25%
Conservative Party wins majority • 25%
NDP wins majority • 25%
No party wins majority • 25%
Liberal Party majority • 25%
Liberal Party minority • 25%
Conservative Party majority • 25%
Conservative Party minority • 25%
Liberal Majority • 33%
Conservative Majority • 33%
Minority Government • 33%
Liberal majority • 25%
Liberal minority • 25%
Conservative majority • 25%
Conservative minority • 25%
Trudeau government survives • 25%
Trudeau government falls • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Trudeau government survives • 33%
Trudeau government defeated • 33%
No vote held • 34%
Motion Passes • 33%
Motion Fails • 33%
Motion Withdrawn • 34%
Liberal Majority • 25%
Conservative Majority • 25%
NDP Majority • 25%
Minority Government • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Trudeau remains PM • 25%
Trudeau resigns • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Liberal Party leadership change • 25%