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What will be the outcome of the next significant Ukrainian incursion attempt in the Bryansk region?
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Klimovsky•Bryansk•Russia•Belarus•Ukrainian•Russian•Russian Bryansk•Aleksandar Bogomaz•FSB Border Guard•Russian Armed Forces•BMP•Zabrama
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful incursion • 25%
Partially successful incursion • 25%
Failed incursion • 25%
No further incursion attempts • 25%
Official statements from Russian or Ukrainian government or verified news sources
Story
Russian Forces Thwart Ukrainian Incursion in Klimovsky District with Three BMP IFVs
Aug 21, 2024, 07:45 PM
A conflict has erupted in the Klimovsky district of the Bryansk region, Russia, which borders Belarus. Reports indicate that Ukrainian forces attempted to penetrate the region, engaging in battles with Russian forces. The Russian Bryansk Governor Aleksandar Bogomaz confirmed the incident, stating that the FSB Border Guard and Russian Armed Forces successfully thwarted the breakthrough attempt by Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups. The attempted incursion reportedly involved light armored vehicles, including three BMP IFVs and around 200 troops, and was repelled between 19:00 and 21:00 on August 21. The situation has since been stabilized according to Russian officials. The clash also occurred near the settlement of Zabrama.
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Ukrainian forces establish control • 25%
Russian forces reclaim control • 25%
Stalemate/No clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukrainian forces gain significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian offensive • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant damage to infrastructure • 25%
Significant civilian casualties • 25%
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Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Ukraine consolidates minor gains • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Russia regains lost territory • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain control • 25%
Russian forces reclaim control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian forces successfully hold territory • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukrainian forces withdraw completely • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain current positions • 25%
Ukrainian forces advance further • 25%
Ukrainian forces are repelled further into Ukraine • 25%
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Successful for Russia • 25%
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Ukraine controls Kursk • 25%
Russia retains control of Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire in Kursk region • 25%
Ukraine captures and holds territory • 25%
Russia repels the offensive • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold captured territory • 25%
Russian forces recapture all territory • 25%
Stalemate with contested areas • 25%
Other • 25%