Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the New Orleans terror attack investigation by June 30, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•United States•Truth Social•Trump•Department of Justice•FBI•Democrat•Americans•CIA•Safety•National Security•Democracy•New Orleans•Tesla Cybertruck•Trump International Hotel•Las Vegas
Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified domestic group • 25%
Identified foreign group • 25%
Lone actor • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Official investigation reports or statements from law enforcement
Story
Trump Demands CIA Action After New Orleans Attack and Tesla Explosion at His Las Vegas Hotel
Jan 2, 2025, 11:34 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has sharply criticized the current state of the United States, describing it as a 'disaster' and a 'laughing stock' globally. In a statement posted on Truth Social, Trump attributed the nation's issues to 'open borders' and 'weak, ineffective, and virtually nonexistent leadership.' He accused the Department of Justice, FBI, and Democrat state and local prosecutors of failing to perform their duties, instead focusing on attacking him politically rather than protecting Americans from violence and corruption. Trump demanded immediate action from the CIA, stating that the country is experiencing a 'violent erosion of Safety, National Security, and Democracy.' His comments follow recent incidents including a terror attack in New Orleans that left 15 dead and an explosion involving a Tesla Cybertruck outside his Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas, which he did not directly mention but are believed to have influenced his remarks. Trump urged for strong leadership and promised change when he takes office on January 20th.
View original story
Similar markets
Foreign involvement • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
Non-terrorism violent crime charges • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Other • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Foreign influence confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Acted alone • 25%
Unclear or inconclusive • 25%
Suspect apprehended but not charged • 25%
Suspect apprehended and charged • 25%
Other • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Domestic terrorism • 25%
Part of a larger network • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of a larger plot • 25%
Part of larger terror cell • 25%
Inconclusive due to lack of evidence • 25%
Lone wolf attack confirmed • 25%
Unclear motives • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Stricter bomb-making material regulations • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Increased surveillance measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Solely domestic actors identified • 25%
International terrorist group involvement • 25%
Some suspects identified • 25%
No suspects identified • 25%
Identified but not arrested all suspects • 25%
Identified and arrested all suspects • 25%
Other • 25%
Commercially available explosives • 25%
No explosives found • 25%
Homemade explosives • 25%
Domestic Terrorism • 25%
ISIS Connection • 25%
Lone Wolf Attack • 25%
Other • 25%