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What will be the significant policy outcome of the New Orleans bombing investigation by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased surveillance measures • 25%
Stricter bomb-making material regulations • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Other • 25%
Public policy announcements or legislative changes
Story
FBI Clears Three Men and One Woman in New Orleans Bombing Investigation Involving Improvised Explosive Devices
Jan 1, 2025, 10:34 PM
Federal investigators have cleared four individuals seen in surveillance footage from the French Quarter of New Orleans, initially suspected of placing improvised explosive devices (IEDs) during a recent attack. The FBI stated that these individuals, comprising three men and one woman, are not linked to the incident. This determination follows a review of video evidence that led authorities to initially believe the suspects may not have acted alone. Law enforcement officials have characterized the situation as a misunderstanding, confirming that the individuals in question did not plant the devices. The investigation into the origins of the explosives continues.
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No charges filed • 25%
Non-terrorism violent crime charges • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
Identified domestic group • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Lone actor • 25%
Identified foreign group • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Suspect apprehended but not charged • 25%
Lone wolf attack confirmed • 25%
Part of larger terror cell • 25%
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Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Acted alone • 25%
Part of a larger plot • 25%
Unclear or inconclusive • 25%
Domestic terrorism • 25%
Part of a larger network • 25%
Inconclusive due to lack of evidence • 25%
Foreign influence confirmed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Unclear motives • 25%
All suspects apprehended and charged • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Partial apprehension of suspects • 25%
No suspects apprehended • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
No explosives found • 25%
Other • 25%
Homemade explosives • 25%
Commercially available explosives • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
International terrorist group involvement • 25%
Solely domestic actors identified • 25%
Political Motivation • 25%
Other • 25%
Domestic Grievance • 25%
Religious Extremism • 25%