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What will the FBI conclude about the New Orleans truck attack by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
ISIS Connection • 25%
Lone Wolf Attack • 25%
Domestic Terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
FBI official statements or press releases
Story
Trump Links New Orleans Truck Attack to Illegal Immigration, FBI Probes ISIS Connection
Jan 1, 2025, 04:21 PM
Donald Trump, the president-elect of the United States, has linked a deadly truck attack in New Orleans to illegal immigration, a central issue in his election campaign. The attack, which occurred in the early hours of New Year's Day, involved a truck plowing into a crowd celebrating the New Year in the French Quarter of New Orleans, resulting in at least 10 deaths and 30 injuries. The FBI is investigating the incident as a potential act of terrorism and is probing possible connections to ISIS. The suspect, who was killed in a shootout with police, had driven the truck into the crowd. Trump, in a statement on Truth Social, reiterated his stance on immigration, claiming that 'criminals coming in are far worse than the criminals we have in our country.'
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Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Direct coordination • 25%
Inspired but not coordinated • 25%
No ISIS connection • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Identified foreign group • 25%
Lone actor • 25%
Identified domestic group • 25%
Personal grievance • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone actor confirmed • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Accomplices identified • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
All suspects apprehended and charged • 25%
Partial apprehension of suspects • 25%
No suspects apprehended • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
International terrorist group involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Solely domestic actors identified • 25%