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What will be the outcome of the negotiations between India and Pakistan regarding the Indus Waters Treaty by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Treaty modified • 25%
Treaty remains unchanged • 25%
India withdraws from treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the governments of India and Pakistan or credible news sources like Hindustan Times, BBC, or Reuters
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India Seeks Review and Modification of 1960 Indus Waters Treaty with Pakistan Over Three Concerns
Sep 18, 2024, 07:55 AM
India has formally notified Pakistan seeking a review and modification of the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty. This move reflects India's growing frustration with the treaty's current functioning. The notice, served by New Delhi, highlights fundamental changes in circumstances that necessitate a review. According to sources, the request for modification is based on three specific concerns. Reports by Shishir Gupta from Hindustan Times.
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Treaty remains unchanged • 25%
Minor modifications agreed upon • 25%
Major modifications agreed upon • 25%
Treaty terminated • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Agree to review • 25%
Reject review • 25%
Request more time • 25%
No response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Changing water use • 25%
Clean energy needs • 25%
Terrorism concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal Apology from India • 25%
Joint Investigation Agreed • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other Diplomatic Actions • 25%
Full restoration of diplomatic relations • 25%
Partial restoration with conditions • 25%
Continued diplomatic tensions • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Enhanced security cooperation agreed • 25%
Formal apology issued by India • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased diplomatic engagement • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Resolution through dialogue • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Involvement of international mediators • 25%
No significant change • 25%
