Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the Indus Waters Treaty review by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Treaty remains unchanged • 25%
Minor modifications agreed upon • 25%
Major modifications agreed upon • 25%
Treaty terminated • 25%
Official announcements from either the Indian or Pakistani governments or verified news sources
Story
India Seeks Review of Indus Waters Treaty with Pakistan Under Article XII(3)
Sep 18, 2024, 09:56 AM
India has formally served a notice to Pakistan seeking a review and modification of the Indus Waters Treaty. The diplomatic note, sent on August 30, 2024, highlights fundamental changes in circumstances that necessitate a reassessment of the treaty under Article XII(3). Key concerns cited by India include changing water use, clean energy needs, and terrorism. This move indicates India's growing frustration with the current workings of the 1960 treaty. Pakistan has not yet responded to the official notification.
View original story
Similar markets
Treaty modified • 25%
Treaty remains unchanged • 25%
India withdraws from treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Water allocation • 25%
Infrastructure projects • 25%
Environmental concerns • 25%
Other concerns • 25%
United Nations • 25%
World Bank • 25%
United States • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation to international arbitration • 25%
Ongoing tension without resolution • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Accepted by both countries • 25%
Rejected by India • 25%
Rejected by Pakistan • 25%
No changes proposed • 25%
Sanctions upheld • 25%
Sanctions condemned • 25%
Sanctions modified • 25%
No decision • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Formal Apology from India • 25%
Joint Investigation Agreed • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other Diplomatic Actions • 25%