Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of India-Canada diplomatic tensions by June 2025?
2
India•Canada•Indian•Khalistani•Hardeep Singh Nijjar•Canadian•New Delhi•Justin Trudeau•Trudeau•China•Delhi•Ottawa
Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolution through dialogue • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Involvement of international mediators • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official diplomatic communications or agreements, and reports from reputable news agencies
Story
India Rejects Trudeau's 'Ludicrous' Allegations, Demands Evidence, Summons Canada's Top Diplomat
Oct 14, 2024, 09:23 AM
India has demanded that Canada provide concrete evidence supporting its allegations that Indian agents were involved in the killing of Khalistani separatist leader Hardeep Singh Nijjar on Canadian soil. In a strongly worded statement, New Delhi rejected Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's claims as 'unsubstantiated' and 'ludicrous', accusing him of 'currying favor with a vote bank' and engaging in 'naked interference in Indian internal politics'. The Indian government suggested that Trudeau's allegations were an attempt to divert attention from criticism over his government's handling of foreign interference, particularly from China, in Canadian politics. India summoned Canada's top diplomat in Delhi, warning it 'reserves the right to respond' if Ottawa continues its accusations. The diplomatic tension has escalated, with India criticizing Canada for allowing anti-India activities and harboring separatists.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased diplomatic sanctions • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Other • 25%
Resolution and improved relations • 25%
Continued tensions without resolution • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation to international arbitration • 25%
Ongoing tension without resolution • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Full restoration of diplomatic relations • 25%
Partial restoration with conditions • 25%
Continued diplomatic tensions • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Further diplomatic expulsions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations normalize • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Trade sanctions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic tensions increase • 25%
Severance of diplomatic ties • 25%
Full resolution and restoration of relations • 25%
Partial resolution with some restrictions • 25%
Continued diplomatic tensions • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations break down completely • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other development • 25%