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What will be the outcome of the missile launched from Yemen towards Israel by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Intercepted by defense systems • 25%
Landed in uninhabited area • 25%
Caused damage or casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or international news agencies
Story
Ballistic Missile Launched from Yemen Towards Central Israel, Rocket Alerts Sound in Tel Aviv
Oct 7, 2024, 02:45 PM
Reports indicate that a ballistic missile was launched from Yemen towards central Israel. Sirens and rocket alerts have been sounding in the Tel Aviv area and other parts of central Israel following the attack. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have confirmed the missile launch and subsequent alerts.
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No significant damage • 25%
Minor damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Severe damage • 25%
Intercepted by Arrow-3 • 25%
Missile reaches target • 25%
Malfunction/miss • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile attacks cease without further escalation • 25%
Missile attacks continue with limited escalation • 25%
Missile attacks lead to significant military conflict • 25%
Missile attacks lead to diplomatic resolution • 25%
No missile attack occurs • 25%
Missile attack occurs, no significant retaliation • 25%
Missile attack occurs, Israel retaliates • 25%
Missile attack occurs, U.S. retaliates • 25%
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Causes minor damage • 25%
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No strike occurs • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase in missile attacks • 25%
Decrease in missile attacks • 25%
No change in missile attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Hits target • 25%
Launch fails • 25%
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Tel Aviv • 25%
Jerusalem • 25%
Southern Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
No missiles launched • 25%
Missiles intercepted by IDF • 25%
Missiles cause damage in Israel • 25%
Missiles cause casualties in Israel • 25%
