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What will be the outcome of the Israel-Qatar talks by August 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Hostage deal reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible international news sources
Story
Netanyahu: Israel to Send Delegation Led by Mossad Chief to Qatar for Hostage Deal Talks on Thursday
Jul 21, 2024, 05:04 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced that an Israeli delegation will depart for Qatar on Thursday to continue negotiations on a hostage deal with Hamas. The decision was made after a five-hour discussion in the Prime Minister's office involving the negotiation team and senior security officials. The delegation will be led by the Mossad chief, according to Israeli media reports. Netanyahu's office confirmed the plan in a statement.
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Successful ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Accepted by all parties • 25%
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Accepted by Hamas only • 25%
Rejected by all parties • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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Talks postponed • 25%
Hostages released, no ceasefire • 25%
Hostages released, ceasefire agreed • 25%
No hostages released, ongoing conflict • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hostage release-for-ceasefire deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
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Permanent ceasefire • 25%
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Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks break down completely • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release agreement reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release agreements reached • 25%
No agreements reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Resumes mediation • 25%
Closes Hamas office • 25%
Imposes diplomatic sanctions • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached, talks continue • 25%
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Other • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
No talks held • 25%