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What will be the outcome of the U.S., Qatar, and Egypt bridging proposal by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepted by all parties • 25%
Accepted by Israel only • 25%
Accepted by Hamas only • 25%
Rejected by all parties • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible news sources like Reuters or BBC
Story
Israel Accepts U.S., Qatar, and Egypt Proposal; Hamas Urged to Agree
Aug 22, 2024, 05:12 PM
Israel has accepted a bridging proposal put forward by the United States, Qatar, and Egypt, aimed at de-escalating tensions in Gaza. The proposal is a three-step plan that begins with a pause in the fighting. U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, emphasized the importance of Hamas also accepting the proposal. The plan is designed to save lives, bring relief to Palestinians, secure the return of hostages, and reduce regional tensions. Members of the UN Security Council are urged to use their influence to encourage Hamas to agree to the proposal.
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Temporary Truce • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Hostage deal reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire and exchange executed • 25%
Only ceasefire executed • 25%
Only exchange executed • 25%
Neither executed • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire and lasting agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire only, no lasting agreement • 25%
No ceasefire, continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire with partial agreement • 25%
Qatar ceases all support for Hamas • 25%
Qatar reduces support for Hamas • 25%
No change in Qatar's policy • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Agreement signed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified and Accepted • 25%
No Decision • 25%
Ceasefire and hostage release accepted by both sides • 25%
Ceasefire accepted but no hostage release • 25%
Hostage release but no ceasefire • 25%
Neither ceasefire nor hostage release • 25%