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What will be the outcome of the Iran-UAE dispute over Persian Gulf islands by end of 2024?
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Iran•Foreign Ministry•Chinese•Tehran•China•United Arab Emirates•UAE•Persian Gulf•Abu Musa•Greater Tunb•Lesser Tunb•Strait of Hormuz
Resolution / Starting Odds
Status Quo • 33%
Resolution Favoring Iran • 33%
Resolution Favoring UAE • 33%
Official government statements, international arbitration results, major news agencies
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Iran Summons Chinese Ambassador Over UAE's Claims to Abu Musa, Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb
Jun 2, 2024, 10:59 AM
Iran's Foreign Ministry has summoned the Chinese ambassador in Tehran to protest China's support for the United Arab Emirates' (UAE) claims over three Persian Gulf islands. The islands in question are Abu Musa, Greater Tunb, and Lesser Tunb, which are controlled by Iran but claimed by the UAE. The protest was triggered by a joint statement from China and the UAE that reiterated the UAE's sovereignty claims over the islands. Iran's Foreign Ministry described China's support as 'baseless' and 'repeated,' highlighting the contentious nature of the territorial dispute. The islands are strategically located in the Strait of Hormuz, and the protest specifically referenced paragraph 26 of the China-UAE joint statement.
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Status Quo • 33%
Iran Concedes • 33%
UAE Concedes • 33%
Escalation of tensions • 33%
Stabilization of relations • 33%
Breakthrough agreement • 34%
Diplomatic Agreement • 33%
Military Confrontation • 33%
Ongoing Dispute • 34%
Successful • 33%
Partially Successful • 34%
Unsuccessful • 33%
Agree to negotiations • 33%
Reject negotiations • 33%
Continue current stance • 33%
Full-scale conflict • 33%
Limited skirmishes • 33%
De-escalation • 33%
Improved relations • 33%
Deteriorated relations • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increased tensions and violence • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Peace talks initiated • 33%