Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Beirut pager explosions by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified and arrested • 25%
Identified but not arrested • 25%
Not identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Official statements from Lebanese authorities or credible news sources
Story
Iranian Ambassador Mojtaba Amani Injured in Beirut Pager Explosions
Sep 17, 2024, 02:32 PM
Iranian Ambassador to Lebanon, Mojtaba Amani, has been injured in a series of pager explosions across Beirut and southern Lebanon. The explosions have resulted in over 1,000 injuries. Lebanese media initially reported the incident, with subsequent confirmation from Iranian state media. The ambassador's injuries are reported to be superficial, and he is currently receiving treatment in a hospital. The Lebanese Minister of Health has stated that 8 people were killed and 2,800 were wounded in the explosions.
View original story
Similar markets
Israel held responsible • 25%
Another country held responsible • 25%
Internal actors held responsible • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Taiwanese company responsible • 25%
Hungarian company responsible • 25%
Other country/company responsible • 25%
No definitive conclusion • 25%
Gold Apollo found responsible • 25%
European manufacturer found responsible • 25%
Another entity found responsible • 25%
No entity found responsible • 25%
Israel implicated • 25%
Hezbollah implicated • 25%
Other group implicated • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Sanctions against Taiwan • 25%
Sanctions against Hungary • 25%
Joint sanctions against Taiwan and Hungary • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
Involvement confirmed • 25%
Involvement not confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmed Israeli involvement • 25%
Confirmed internal Hezbollah issue • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No official investigation report • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Gold Apollo found responsible • 25%
Other Taiwanese firms found responsible • 25%
Foreign (non-Taiwanese) firms found responsible • 25%
Gold Apollo found responsible • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT found responsible • 25%
Both companies found responsible • 25%
Neither company found responsible • 25%
Suspect Arrested • 25%
Suspect Killed in Explosion • 25%
No Suspect Identified • 25%
Other • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Evidence implicating Gold Apollo • 25%
Evidence implicating BAC Consulting KFT • 25%
Evidence implicating both companies • 25%