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What actions will the Lebanese government take in response to the Beirut pager explosions by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased security measures • 25%
Arrests and prosecutions • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official statements from the Lebanese government or credible news sources
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Iranian Ambassador Mojtaba Amani Injured in Beirut Pager Explosions
Sep 17, 2024, 02:32 PM
Iranian Ambassador to Lebanon, Mojtaba Amani, has been injured in a series of pager explosions across Beirut and southern Lebanon. The explosions have resulted in over 1,000 injuries. Lebanese media initially reported the incident, with subsequent confirmation from Iranian state media. The ambassador's injuries are reported to be superficial, and he is currently receiving treatment in a hospital. The Lebanese Minister of Health has stated that 8 people were killed and 2,800 were wounded in the explosions.
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Gold Apollo found responsible • 25%
European manufacturer found responsible • 25%
Another entity found responsible • 25%
No entity found responsible • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Israel • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel held responsible • 25%
Another country held responsible • 25%
Internal actors held responsible • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Sanctions against Taiwan • 25%
Sanctions against Hungary • 25%
Joint sanctions against Taiwan and Hungary • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Sanctions against Hezbollah • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemn Hezbollah • 25%
Take military action against Hezbollah • 25%
Do nothing • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Admit involvement • 25%
Deny involvement • 25%
No comment • 25%
Blame external party • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Call for independent investigation • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased fear and avoidance of gadgets • 25%
No significant change in behavior • 25%
Increased demand for secure gadgets • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hezbollah • 25%
ISIS • 25%
Unknown group • 25%
Other • 25%