Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the international investigation into the Golan Heights attack by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hezbollah confirmed responsible • 25%
Another group confirmed responsible • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation completed • 25%
Official investigation reports or verified news reports
Story
Blinken: Hezbollah Likely Behind Rocket Attack Killing 12 at Soccer Match in Golan Heights
Jul 28, 2024, 10:22 AM
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has stated that there is 'every indication' that Hezbollah was responsible for a rocket attack that killed 12 children and teenagers in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. The rocket struck a youth soccer match in the town of Majdal Shams in northeastern Israel. Blinken, speaking in Japan on Sunday, expressed a desire to avoid an escalation of conflict following the incident. Hezbollah, the Lebanon-based militant group, has denied any involvement in the attack.
View original story
Similar markets
Hezbollah responsible • 25%
Iron Dome malfunction • 25%
Rocket from Syria • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Israel found at fault • 25%
UN found at fault • 25%
Both parties found at fault • 25%
No fault determined • 25%
Blames Hezbollah • 25%
Blames another group • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran confirmed involved • 25%
Iran confirmed not involved • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No official investigation • 25%
Israel implicated • 25%
Hezbollah implicated • 25%
Other group implicated • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Confirmed attack by Iran • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Dismissed as false • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hezbollah confirmed as sole perpetrator • 25%
Hezbollah and another group involved • 25%
Attack attributed to another group • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Hezbollah admits involvement • 25%
Hezbollah denies involvement • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Other • 25%
Further investigation finds Hamas responsible • 25%
Further investigation finds IDF responsible • 25%
Further investigation is inconclusive • 25%
No further findings released • 25%
Hamas found solely responsible • 25%
Mixed responsibility • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Investigation not completed • 25%
Suspect Arrested • 25%
Suspect Killed in Explosion • 25%
No Suspect Identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against Taiwan • 25%
Sanctions against Hungary • 25%
Joint sanctions against Taiwan and Hungary • 25%
No sanctions • 25%