Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of further investigation into the October 7 Kibbutz Be'eri attack by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Further investigation finds Hamas responsible • 25%
Further investigation finds IDF responsible • 25%
Further investigation is inconclusive • 25%
No further findings released • 25%
Official statements or reports from the IDF or Israeli government
Story
IDF Probe: Hamas Militants Likely Killed Hostages in October 7 Kibbutz Be'eri Attack; 13 Israelis Killed
Jul 11, 2024, 04:07 PM
An Israeli army investigation has revealed that 13 Israelis were killed after an Israeli occupation tank targeted a house in Kibbutz Be'eri on October 7. The findings from the IDF probe indicate that Hamas militants, and not tank fire, are likely to have killed the hostages during the brutal massacre. Members of Kibbutz Be'eri, who were the first to hear about the findings, responded with both appreciation and a call for further investigation into the events. The probe also cleared Brig. Gen. Barak Hiram of allegations that he ordered the killing of hostages held by Hamas terrorists inside a house. The attack resulted in the destruction of hundreds of homes, the death of 101 residents, and 30 more being taken hostage. The IDF’s probe concluded that the tank shell fired on the house where terrorists were holed up with 15 hostages did not kill any hostages.
View original story
Similar markets
No significant findings • 25%
Systemic failures identified • 25%
Individual accountability recommended • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
Blames Hezbollah • 25%
Blames another group • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran linked • 25%
Hezbollah linked • 25%
Hamas linked • 25%
No link found • 25%
Hezbollah responsible • 25%
Iron Dome malfunction • 25%
Rocket from Syria • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of an organized group • 25%
Unrelated criminal activity • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Reprimands issued • 25%
Resignations • 25%
Other • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Partial wrongdoing found • 25%
Full wrongdoing found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Arrests made • 25%
No arrests but official condemnation • 25%
No arrests and no official condemnation • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
One or more individuals arrested and prosecuted • 25%
Investigation completed with no arrests or prosecutions • 25%
Investigation still ongoing • 25%
No information released • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Organized terrorist group • 25%
Unknown/Unclear • 25%
Other • 25%
Intelligence failure • 25%
Command failure • 25%
Operational failure • 25%
Other • 25%