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What will be the outcome of the IDF investigation into the hostage name leak by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Leak source identified and responsible party held accountable • 25%
Leak source identified but no accountability • 25%
Leak source not identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Official IDF announcements or Israeli government statements
Story
IDF Investigates Hostage Name Leak and Unintentional Death of Turkish-American Citizen
Sep 10, 2024, 11:44 AM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have launched an in-depth investigation into the leak of hostage names on social media before official confirmation was provided. This leak led to families learning of their relatives' deaths via social media. Additionally, the IDF conducted an inquiry into the death of Turkish-American foreign national Aysenur Ezgi Eygi, finding it highly likely that she was hit indirectly and unintentionally by IDF fire aimed at a key instigator of a riot. Israel has sent a request to carry out an autopsy.
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Executed by Hamas • 25%
Killed in IDF strike • 25%
Cause remains inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified and prosecuted leaker • 25%
Leaker identified but not prosecuted • 25%
No leaker identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor disciplinary actions • 25%
Major disciplinary actions • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%
Netanyahu implicated • 25%
IDF personnel implicated • 25%
External actor implicated • 25%
No clear source identified • 25%
Disciplinary action against individuals involved • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Policy changes announced • 25%
Other • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Some wrongdoing found • 25%
Significant wrongdoing found • 25%
Investigation not concluded • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
IDF admits fault • 25%
IDF denies fault • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No public statement • 25%
Confirmed as terror attack • 25%
Confirmed as personal dispute • 25%
Confirmed as accidental • 25%
Other • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor disciplinary actions • 25%
Major disciplinary actions • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%
Conviction of all soldiers • 25%
Conviction of some soldiers • 25%
Acquittal of all soldiers • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
