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Market
Will the IDF publish its probe confirming the findings on the deaths of the three hostages by September 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
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No • 50%
Official IDF publication or press release
Story
IDF Investigation Finds High Probability November Airstrike Killed Three Hostages in Gaza
Sep 15, 2024, 02:01 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have concluded an investigation into the deaths of three hostages, Corporal Nik Beizer, Sergeant Ron Sherman, and civilian Elia Toledano, whose bodies were recovered ten months ago. The investigation found a high probability that the hostages were killed as a byproduct of an Israeli airstrike in Gaza in November. The airstrike also targeted and killed Hamas northern Gaza brigade chief Ahmed Ghandour. The IDF is expected to publish its probe confirming these findings on Sunday. Although the exact details are still unclear, the IDF's findings highlight the tragic consequences of the airstrike.
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Yes • 50%
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Executed by Hamas • 25%
Killed in IDF strike • 25%
Cause remains inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
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Leak source identified and responsible party held accountable • 25%
Leak source identified but no accountability • 25%
Leak source not identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%