Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the IDF's investigation into the leak of manipulated Hamas documents by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Netanyahu implicated • 25%
IDF personnel implicated • 25%
External actor implicated • 25%
No clear source identified • 25%
Official findings from the IDF or Israeli government report
Story
IDF Probes Netanyahu-Linked Leak of Manipulated Hamas Documents to Foreign Media
Sep 8, 2024, 05:06 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have initiated an internal investigation into the leak of documents recovered from the Gaza Strip, which were allegedly manipulated to influence public opinion on hostage negotiations. These documents, reportedly forged by Hamas, were leaked to foreign media outlets, including German newspaper Bild, the Jewish Chronicle, and other international media. The leaks are suspected to align with Prime Minister Netanyahu's narrative, aiming to sway Israeli public opinion against a ceasefire deal and support his conditions. The IDF's probe seeks to identify the source of the leaks and the extent of manipulation involved, as reported by Ynet.
View original story
Similar markets
Leak source identified and responsible party held accountable • 25%
Leak source identified but no accountability • 25%
Leak source not identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Identified and prosecuted leaker • 25%
Leaker identified but not prosecuted • 25%
No leaker identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Disciplinary action against individuals involved • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Policy changes announced • 25%
Other • 25%
Charges against Feldstein • 25%
Charges against other Netanyahu aides • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Strike deemed lawful • 25%
Strike deemed unlawful • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Executed by Hamas • 25%
Killed in IDF strike • 25%
Cause remains inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor disciplinary action • 25%
Major disciplinary action • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Leak confirmed internally • 25%
Leak disproven • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Minor disciplinary actions • 25%
Major disciplinary actions • 25%
Criminal charges • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Partial wrongdoing found • 25%
Full wrongdoing found • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Strike justified • 25%
Operational errors identified • 25%
Disciplinary actions taken • 25%
Other • 25%