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What will be the outcome of the German snap election on February 23, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
Official election results from the German electoral authorities.
Story
Scholz Requests Confidence Vote, Triggering Snap Election on February 23
Dec 11, 2024, 01:42 PM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has formally requested a vote of confidence from the Bundestag, setting the stage for a potential snap election in late February. This move comes after the collapse of his coalition government last month. Scholz submitted the petition to Bundestag President Bärbel Bas, with the vote scheduled for December 16. If Scholz loses the vote, it would trigger the dissolution of parliament and pave the way for new elections on February 23, 2025. The process is governed by the German constitution and is seen as an orderly procedure to restore political stability.
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CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed excluding AfD • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Green Party wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
Friedrich Merz (CDU/CSU) • 25%
Olaf Scholz (SPD) • 25%
Annalena Baerbock (Greens) • 25%
Other • 25%