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What will be the outcome of the February 2024 German snap election?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed excluding AfD • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official election results published by the German electoral authorities.
Story
Germany's AfD Nominates Alice Weidel as Chancellor Candidate Ahead of February Election Amid Calls for Party Ban
Dec 7, 2024, 05:27 AM
Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has nominated Alice Weidel, its leader, as its first chancellor candidate ahead of February's snap election. The party, currently polling at 17%, is positioned as the second-largest political force behind the CDU/CSU, which leads with 33%. This move is seen as a bold step to expand the party's influence and potentially reshape its image under Weidel's leadership. Meanwhile, calls for banning the AfD are intensifying, with over 100 German MPs, including members of the CDU, supporting a motion to outlaw the party. The motion, citing concerns over the party's radicalization and alleged threats to democracy, is expected to be voted on in January. The AfD's youth organization, Junge Alternative, also faces potential dissolution as part of these efforts.
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CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition forms majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU wins majority • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Green Party wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
Win majority • 25%
Form coalition government • 25%
Remain in opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
Scholz's party wins majority • 25%
Opposition party wins majority • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Hung parliament • 25%
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Greens • 25%
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CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition or party wins • 25%
Alice Weidel • 25%
Friedrich Merz • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Clear Winner • 25%