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What will be the outcome of the Bundestag confidence vote on December 16, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Scholz wins the vote • 33%
Scholz loses the vote • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Official results from the Bundestag.
Story
Scholz Requests Confidence Vote, Triggering Snap Election on February 23
Dec 11, 2024, 01:42 PM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has formally requested a vote of confidence from the Bundestag, setting the stage for a potential snap election in late February. This move comes after the collapse of his coalition government last month. Scholz submitted the petition to Bundestag President Bärbel Bas, with the vote scheduled for December 16. If Scholz loses the vote, it would trigger the dissolution of parliament and pave the way for new elections on February 23, 2025. The process is governed by the German constitution and is seen as an orderly procedure to restore political stability.
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Scholz retains confidence • 33%
Scholz loses confidence • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Scholz loses the vote • 50%
Scholz wins the vote • 50%
Scholz retains position • 25%
Interim Chancellor appointed • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Scholz wins • 33%
Scholz loses • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Scholz retains confidence • 33%
Scholz loses confidence • 33%
New coalition formed • 25%
Minority government • 25%
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Other • 25%
