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Which party will win the majority in the February 2025 German snap elections?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
SPD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
Green Party wins majority • 25%
Other party wins majority • 25%
Official election results released by the German Federal Returning Officer
Story
Chancellor Olaf Scholz Requests Confidence Vote on December 11, 2024, Ahead of Snap Elections in February 2025
Dec 11, 2024, 08:50 AM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is set to submit a formal request for a vote of confidence in his government on December 11, 2024. This move is seen as a precursor to snap elections scheduled for February 2025. Following the confidence vote, the Bundestag will be dissolved, and Germany will have 60 days to conduct fresh elections. Scholz's tenure has been characterized by challenges, and this confidence vote marks a significant moment in his leadership, reminiscent of previous political crises in Germany. The Green Party faction is reportedly considering abstaining from the vote. The Bundestag will have a minimum consideration period of 48 hours before the vote takes place.
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SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alternative for Germany (AfD) • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition or party wins • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition wins majority • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Free Democratic Party (FDP) • 25%
Other party • 25%
CDU/CSU • 25%
SPD • 25%
AfD • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) • 25%
Alliance 90/The Greens • 25%
Free Democratic Party (FDP) • 25%