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What will be the outcome of the Gaza ceasefire negotiations by end of 2024?
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Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Israel•Gaza•United States•Nasrallah•Gaza ceasefire•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Fuad Shukr
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage deal reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage deal reached • 25%
Neither reached • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties and verified news reports
Story
Nasrallah: Hezbollah Delays Attack Amid Gaza Talks and Military Mobilization
Aug 25, 2024, 03:20 PM
Hezbollah's leader, Hassan Nasrallah, has revealed that the group's recent retaliatory attack against Israel was intentionally delayed. The decision was influenced by multiple factors, including ongoing ceasefire negotiations in Gaza and significant military mobilization by both Israel and the United States. Nasrallah stated that the delay was aimed at giving the Gaza ceasefire talks a chance, despite new conditions put forward by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The group's actions were also intended to keep Israel on edge. The response delay was also due to political reasons following the assassination of Fuad Shukr.
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Similar markets
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release deal secured • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage deal secured • 25%
Neither ceasefire nor hostage deal secured • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement Reached • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Agreement Reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreed and implemented • 25%
Ceasefire agreed but not implemented • 25%
Talks ongoing without resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreed without new conditions • 25%
Ceasefire agreed with new conditions • 25%
No ceasefire agreed • 25%
Ceasefire talks collapse • 25%
Complete ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapsed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement signed • 25%
Hostage release deal finalized without ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations extended • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Partial agreement with conditions • 25%
Talks break down completely • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial ceasefire • 25%
Failed ceasefire • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release deal reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release deals reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary truce • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete peace maintained • 25%
Minor skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict resumes • 25%
Deal collapses entirely • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement delayed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement indefinite • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Partial ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire with conditions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%