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What will be the outcome of the Doha talks by August 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Temporary truce • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the involved parties and credible news reports
Story
IDF Orders Gaza Evacuations After Airstrikes Kill 17 Palestinians Amid Doha Talks
Aug 17, 2024, 11:00 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have issued new evacuation orders for central Gaza amid escalating tensions and ongoing military operations. This follows an Israeli airstrike on the town of Zawayda in central Gaza, which resulted in the deaths of at least 17 Palestinians and left dozens more wounded, according to health officials. Earlier reports indicated 15 Palestinians were killed on Saturday morning. The Israeli military cited nearby Hamas rocket fire as a reason for the evacuation orders. The situation unfolds as the second day of Doha talks is set to begin, with the IDF preparing for a fresh operation.
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Successful mediation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No success • 25%
U.S. withdraws from mediation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Neither • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement with conditions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Hostage deal reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Increased tariffs on China • 25%
Increased tariffs on EU • 25%
New trade deal with China • 25%
New trade deal with EU • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached, talks continue • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Other • 25%
Consensus on reducing protectionism • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Increased trade tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Accepted by all parties • 25%
Accepted by Israel only • 25%
Accepted by Hamas only • 25%
Rejected by all parties • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement delayed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement indefinite • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Extension of talks • 25%