Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the current cross-border conflict between Hezbollah and Israel by the end of 2024?
2
Hezbollah•Israel•Ramat David Airbase•Haifa•Jezreel Valley•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Israeli•Lebanon•Rafael
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government and Hezbollah, verified by major news outlets such as BBC, CNN, or Reuters
Story
Hezbollah Fires Over 100 Rockets at Northern Israel, Targeting Ramat David Airbase and Haifa
Sep 22, 2024, 04:39 AM
Hezbollah launched a significant rocket attack on northern Israel, firing over 100 rockets, missiles, and drones primarily targeting the Ramat David Airbase, the Haifa region, and the Jezreel Valley. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported that the majority of these projectiles were intercepted by Israeli air defense systems, although some caused damage and sparked fires. The attacks are said to be in retaliation for recent Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon. This marks the most extensive escalation in the conflict since the 2006 war, with Hezbollah using long-range Fadi-1 and Fadi-2 rockets. Hezbollah also targeted the Rafael defense firm. Israel has responded with airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, intensifying the cross-border conflict.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
International Mediation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-intensity conflict • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
IDF Victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Hezbollah disarmed • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict with sporadic attacks • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution without ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Hezbollah retreats • 25%
Israel retreats • 25%