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What will be the outcome of the conflict in the Donetsk People's Republic by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia retains control • 25%
Ukraine regains control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Reports from international observers and credible news agencies
Story
Russia Launches Massive Strike on Ukraine After ATACMS Use; Captures Veselyi Hai, Pushkino, and Shoots Down MiG-29
Dec 15, 2024, 09:16 AM
Russia has launched a 'massive' strike on Ukraine, citing the use of ATACMS missiles by Kyiv as the catalyst for this military action. The Russian military stated that the strike was a direct response to Ukraine's deployment of the ATACMS, which are advanced tactical missiles. This escalation comes amid ongoing hostilities in the region, with the Russian Defense Ministry also reporting the capture of two villages, Veselyi Hai and Pushkino, in the Donetsk People's Republic. Additionally, Russian forces claimed to have shot down a Ukrainian MiG-29 aircraft during this period of intensified conflict.
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Russia controls additional territories • 25%
Ukraine regains all lost territories • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Significant territorial changes • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Military victory for Russia • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Military victory for Ukraine • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement with security guarantees • 25%
Peace agreement without security guarantees • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict continues at current levels • 25%
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Significant Territorial Gain • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawal • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%