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What will be the outcome in Donetsk region by June 30, 2025?
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Ukraine•Oleksandr Lutsenko•Donetsk•Russian•Pokrovsk•Lutsenko•Oleksandr Tarnavskyi•Veselyi Hai•Pushkino•Russian Defense Ministry
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine regains all lost territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Russia controls additional territories • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies and official military communications from Ukraine and Russia
Story
Ukraine Replaces General Oleksandr Lutsenko as Russia Advances Toward Pokrovsk, Captures Veselyi Hai and Pushkino
Dec 15, 2024, 09:10 AM
Ukraine's military leadership has dismissed General Oleksandr Lutsenko, the commander overseeing operations in the eastern Donetsk region, amid significant Russian advances toward the strategic city of Pokrovsk. The decision to replace Lutsenko comes as Russian forces push closer, reportedly just one mile from Pokrovsk, a key logistics hub. Brigadier General Oleksandr Tarnavskyi has been appointed to take over the command in an effort to bolster Ukraine's defenses as the situation deteriorates. Recent reports indicate that Russian troops have made substantial territorial gains, capturing two villages, Veselyi Hai and Pushkino, in the Donetsk region. The Russian Defense Ministry has confirmed these advancements, asserting control over critical areas as fighting intensifies.
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Similar markets
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
No control • 25%
Ukrainian forces regain control • 25%
Russian forces maintain control • 25%
Stalemate/No significant change • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Neither • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia retains control • 25%
Ukraine regains control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Capture of Pokrovsk • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ukrainian counteroffensive • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia gains more territory • 25%
Ukraine gains more territory • 25%
Territory changes hands multiple times • 25%
Russia captures entire Donbas region • 25%
Ukraine retains control of Donbas region • 25%
Conflict remains unresolved • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Russia controls the entirety of Donbas • 25%
Ukraine controls the entirety of Donbas • 25%
Partial control by both Russia and Ukraine • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Ukraine controls majority • 25%
Russia controls majority • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Both (split control) • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Split control • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian control • 25%
Ukrainian control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%