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VisitWill Olaf Scholz lose the Bundestag confidence vote on December 16, 2024?
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the Bundestag or major news outlets reporting the result of the confidence vote.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz Likely to Lose Confidence Vote Today, Early Elections Set for February
Dec 16, 2024, 11:10 AM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is facing a confidence vote in the Bundestag today at 1 PM, following the collapse of his coalition government. The confidence vote is expected to result in Scholz losing parliamentary support, paving the way for early elections on February 23. Scholz is calling the vote to make way for new elections after his coalition fell apart. The Greens have indicated they will abstain, and there are concerns that the far-right AfD could vote in a way that complicates the process. The Social Democratic Party (SPD), led by Scholz, has been losing popularity ahead of the anticipated elections.
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Scholz loses the vote • 50%
Scholz wins the vote • 50%
70% to 80% • 25%
Below 60% • 25%
Above 80% • 25%
60% to 70% • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
Green-led coalition • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
CDU-led coalition • 25%