Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Russia's negotiations with HTS on military bases by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Official statements from Russian government or HTS, verified by credible international news agencies
Story
Russia Engages HTS Rebels to Secure Tartus and Khmeimim Bases Post-Assad
Dec 13, 2024, 12:08 AM
Following the ouster of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Russia has initiated talks with the Syrian rebel group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which now controls power in Syria, to secure its military presence. The discussions aim to retain control over the Tartus naval base and the Khmeimim air base, which are crucial for Russia's military operations in the Middle East. Despite early indications that Russia might lose access to these bases, Moscow is reportedly nearing an agreement with Syria's new leadership to keep its forces stationed at these locations. The talks are described as 'constructive' by Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov, who emphasized the importance of these bases for continuing the fight against international terrorism. Satellite imagery has shown Russian warships temporarily leaving the Tartus port, suggesting Moscow is taking precautions while negotiating its future military presence in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Russia retains both bases • 25%
Russia retains only Tartus • 25%
Russia retains only Khmeimim • 25%
Russia loses both bases • 25%
Agreement finalized • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations collapsed • 25%
Agreement revoked • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement, negotiations abandoned • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia retains both bases • 25%
Russia retains only Hmeimim • 25%
Russia retains only Tartus • 25%
Russia loses both bases • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Russia retains key bases • 25%
Russia loses all bases • 25%
Partial base retention • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Full retention of both bases • 25%
Retention of only one base • 25%
Loss of both bases • 25%
Indefinite negotiations • 25%
Bases maintained at current levels • 25%
Bases expanded • 25%
Bases reduced • 25%
Bases completely withdrawn • 25%