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Outcome of Russia's base negotiations with Syria by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full retention of both bases • 25%
Retention of only one base • 25%
Loss of both bases • 25%
Indefinite negotiations • 25%
Official announcements from Russian or Syrian government or credible news sources
Story
Russia Nears Deal with New Syrian Leadership to Keep Naval Port and Airbase
Dec 12, 2024, 02:49 PM
Russia is nearing an agreement with Syria's new leadership, following the collapse of President Bashar al-Assad's regime, to maintain its military presence in the country, specifically at the naval port of Tartus and the Khmeimim airbase. The Kremlin has been engaged in talks with the new Syrian authorities, aiming to retain access to these vital military installations. This comes amidst reports of 14 warplanes being spotted at Khmeimim airbase, indicating continued Russian military activity. The potential deal follows Russia's significant military support for Assad, which included airstrikes and collaboration with various groups, including Islamist rebels.
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Russia retains only Tartus • 25%
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