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What will be the outcome of Qatar-UK efforts in Gaza by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful Ceasefire • 25%
Increased Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international aid organizations and news reports from reputable outlets
Story
Qatar-UK Call for Gaza Ceasefire as U.S. Engages with Trump's Team
Dec 7, 2024, 08:13 AM
Qatar's Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani has expressed concerns over the ongoing conflict in Gaza, highlighting the need for a ceasefire and a sustainable peace. During a speech at the Doha Forum, he described the situation in Gaza as a 'violent vortex' and an unprecedented humanitarian crisis, warning that the continuation of the crisis could have serious repercussions for regional security. Al Thani emphasized the importance of innovative approaches to end the violence and establish lasting peace. A Qatar-UK joint statement called for an immediate and permanent ceasefire in Gaza, and the U.S. State Department and the White House have expressed support for these efforts, with the White House stating that they are in communication with President-elect Trump's team regarding the situation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Qatar's mediation leads to partial agreements • 25%
Qatar remains involved without resolution • 25%
Qatar withdraws from mediation • 25%
Qatar successfully mediates a ceasefire • 25%
Aid successfully delivered • 25%
No significant aid delivered • 25%
Aid partially delivered • 25%
Aid delivery disrupted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful release of all hostages • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
No release of hostages • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Neither • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Short-term ceasefire • 25%
Long-term ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%