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Russia-NATO Peace Negotiations Initiated by Mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Russian or NATO officials, credible international news coverage
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Medvedev Warns NATO Strikes Under New Nuclear Doctrine Could Trigger WMD Retaliation, Risking World War III
Nov 19, 2024, 10:29 AM
Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chair of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, has articulated a significant update to Russia's nuclear doctrine. He stated that strikes by Western missiles deep into Russian territory could be classified as an attack by NATO countries, granting Moscow the right to retaliate. Medvedev emphasized that such actions could be met with weapons of mass destruction (WMD) targeting Kyiv and key NATO facilities, indicating a potential escalation to World War III. This warning comes amid U.S. President Biden's acceptance of deep strikes into Russia, highlighting the increasing tensions between Russia and NATO.
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Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Summit meeting • 33%
High-level talks • 33%
No significant engagement • 34%
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No • 50%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
China • 25%
Turkey • 25%
India • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic relations • 25%
