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What will be the outcome of peace negotiations regarding the conflict in Donetsk by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Conflict intensifies • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties or credible news agencies
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Russian 'Center' Group Takes Control of Shevchenko in Donetsk People's Republic
Jan 11, 2025, 09:55 AM
The Russian Defense Ministry announced that Russian forces have taken control of the settlement of Shevchenko in the Donetsk People's Republic. This operation was conducted by the 'Center' group of forces, according to the ministry's statement.
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
Russia retains control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ukraine regains control • 25%
Ongoing talks • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Only • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Full withdrawal of Russian forces • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Russia controls additional territories • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ukraine regains all lost territories • 25%