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What will be the outcome of OpenAI's funding strategy with Microsoft by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant new funding secured • 25%
Moderate new funding secured • 25%
No new funding secured • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
Official announcements from OpenAI or Microsoft, or credible reports from financial news outlets
Story
OpenAI Seeks to Unlock Funding by Ditching AGI Clause with Microsoft
Dec 6, 2024, 12:21 PM
OpenAI is reportedly in discussions to remove a clause in its agreement with Microsoft that limits Microsoft's access to OpenAI's most advanced AI models upon achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). This move is aimed at unlocking further investment from Microsoft, according to the Financial Times. The clause in question would allow OpenAI's board to determine when AGI is achieved, potentially restricting Microsoft's access to these models. The removal of this 'AGI clause' could facilitate a more open partnership, enabling Microsoft to leverage OpenAI's cutting-edge AI technology for its own products and services.
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Investment decreases • 25%
Investment remains unchanged • 25%
Investment increases • 25%
Investment withdrawn • 25%
Decision postponed beyond 2025 • 25%
Successfully restructures into a PBC • 25%
Remains as current structure • 25%
Adopts a different structure • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased stake • 25%
Increased stake • 25%
Microsoft divests completely • 25%
Abandons restructuring • 25%
Successfully restructures as PBC • 25%
Remains as current structure • 25%
Restructures differently • 25%
Transition with moderate profitability • 25%
Successful transition with increased profitability • 25%
Transition but with financial losses • 25%
No transition completed • 25%
Partnership terminated • 25%
Successful product integration • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Partnership expanded • 25%
Clause removed • 25%
Clause retained • 25%
No decision announced • 25%
Clause modified • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Delaware Public Benefit Corporation • 25%
Traditional for-profit corporation • 25%
Remains a non-profit • 25%
Other restructuring • 25%
Nonprofit arm dissolved • 25%
Nonprofit arm expanded • 25%
Nonprofit arm restructured • 25%
Nonprofit arm remains unchanged • 25%
Joint venture • 25%
No investment • 25%
Equity investment • 25%
Partnership extension • 25%