Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of North Korea's ultimatum to South Korea over drone flights by February 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from North Korea or South Korea, or credible international news sources
Story
North Korea Accuses South Korea of Drone Flights Over Pyongyang, Issues Ultimatum, Launches Trash Balloons
Oct 11, 2024, 12:04 PM
North Korea has accused South Korea of flying drones over its capital, Pyongyang, and scattering leaflets, calling it a military provocation and a violation of its sovereignty. North Korea's foreign ministry has threatened retaliatory action if such incidents occur again, issuing an ultimatum. South Korea has swiftly denied these claims, labeling them as irresponsible and dangerous. The South Korean military stated that it cannot confirm the veracity of North Korea's allegations, reports Yonhap. This accusation comes amid heightened tensions, with North Korea also launching its third round of trash balloons this week, marking the 27th launch this year, reports AP.
View original story
Similar markets
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Discussions stalled • 25%
No discussions initiated • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military conflict initiated • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No response • 25%
Other response • 25%
United Nations sanctions • 25%
United States diplomatic intervention • 25%
Chinese diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
South Korea responsible • 25%
Third-party involvement • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
North Korea escalates nuclear rhetoric • 25%
North Korea de-escalates • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN sanctions imposed • 25%
US-led diplomatic mediation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other action • 25%