Loading...
Market
Will North Korea retaliate against South Korea for alleged drone flights by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from North Korean or South Korean governments or major international news agencies
Story
North Korea Accuses South Korea of Drone Flights Over Pyongyang Three Times Since Last Week, Threatens Retaliation
Oct 11, 2024, 12:43 PM
North Korea has accused South Korea of flying drones over its capital, Pyongyang, three times since last week, and scattering anti-regime leaflets. North Korea's Foreign Ministry labeled the actions as military provocations and violations of its sovereignty, threatening to respond with force if such incidents recur. South Korea has denied these allegations, calling them irresponsible and dangerous. The South Korean military stated it could not confirm the claims. The situation has escalated tensions between the two countries, with North Korea putting its offensive weapons on full alert at the border and issuing a final warning to South Korea to cease drone flights. North Korea has also sent trash balloons to South Korea.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%