Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of North Korean troops' engagement in Ukraine by end of 2024?
2
Ukrainian•Financial Times•North Korean•Russia•Kursk•Antony Blinken•Lloyd Austin•United Nations Robert Wood•Blinken•Russian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or official military assessments
Story
8,000 North Korean Troops in Russia's Kursk Region Expected to Enter Combat Soon, U.S. Says
Oct 31, 2024, 06:32 PM
According to Ukrainian intelligence and reports from the Financial Times, as of October 28, approximately 3,000 North Korean soldiers, including special forces, were deployed to Russia's Kursk region and stationed in barracks about 50 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. U.S. officials, including Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, and Deputy U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Robert Wood, later updated the number to around 8,000 troops. Blinken stated that these troops are expected to engage in combat against Ukrainian forces in the coming days, although they have not yet been seen in combat. The North Korean soldiers have been training in artillery, drones, and infantry operations, including trench clearing, and have been outfitted with Russian uniforms and equipment.
View original story
Similar markets
Withdrawal without combat • 25%
Engagement in combat • 25%
Captured by Ukrainian forces • 25%
No deployment • 25%
Full Withdrawal • 25%
Continued Presence • 25%
Escalation of Conflict • 25%
Limited Engagement • 25%
Full-scale combat participation • 25%
Limited support role • 25%
Withdrawal before combat • 25%
Other • 25%
Engage in combat • 25%
Remain in training • 25%
Withdraw from region • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military alliance expanded • 25%
Increased conflict intensity • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
De-escalation and troop withdrawal • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Significant strategic advantage for Russia • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
Increased tensions with other nations • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Troops remain in Ukraine • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Troops increase • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military support from North Korea • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant change • 25%
Confirmed troop presence • 25%
No troop presence confirmed • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Inconclusive or unresolved • 25%
North Korean troops fully withdrawn • 25%
North Korean troops remain in support of Russia • 25%
North Korean troops expand presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
North Korean withdrawal • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Direct combat in Ukraine • 25%
Support role without direct combat • 25%
Withdrawal without engagement • 25%
Other • 25%