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What will be the outcome of Maduro's presidency by end of 2025?
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Colombian•Álvaro Uribe•Venezuela•Nicolás Maduro•Cúcuta•Venezuelan•Uribe•United Nations•Maduro•María Corina Machado•Edmundo González•Iván Duque•Duque•International Criminal Court
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro ousted through international intervention • 25%
Maduro ousted through internal uprising • 25%
Other • 25%
International news reports and official government announcements
Story
Uribe Calls for UN-Endorsed Military Intervention in Venezuela to Oust Maduro
Jan 11, 2025, 06:34 PM
Former Colombian President Álvaro Uribe has called for an international military intervention in Venezuela to oust the regime of Nicolás Maduro. Speaking at a political event in Cúcuta, near the Venezuelan border, Uribe advocated for an intervention preferably endorsed by the United Nations to remove 'those tyrants from power' and to immediately call for free elections. This call was made in response to Maduro's recent inauguration for the 2025-2031 term, which Uribe and other opposition figures claim was fraudulent. Uribe expressed support for Venezuelan opposition leaders María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, referring to them as 'universal champions of democracy.' Additionally, former President Iván Duque echoed Uribe's sentiments, urging Edmundo González to call for an international humanitarian intervention to restore democracy in Venezuela and protect human rights. Duque suggested that such an intervention should be accompanied by a request to the International Criminal Court to expedite an arrest warrant for Maduro.
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Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro ousted by force • 25%
Maduro steps down voluntarily • 25%
Partial recognition • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Full recognition • 25%
Continued non-recognition • 25%
Postponed or canceled • 25%
Minor protests, no major incidents • 25%
Successful with no incidents • 25%
Significant protests with disruptions • 25%
Protests subside with no change • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Protests escalate into conflict • 25%
Protests lead to leadership change • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Protests are suppressed without major outcomes • 25%
Protests result in significant international sanctions • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Maduro not inaugurated • 25%
Maduro inaugurated • 25%
Neither inaugurated • 25%
González Urrutia inaugurated • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
More countries recognize Maduro • 25%
Other diplomatic changes • 25%
Recognition status remains largely unchanged • 25%
More countries withdraw recognition • 25%
Inauguration postponed • 25%
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Inauguration proceeds without incident • 25%
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