Loading...
Market
What type of intervention, if any, will occur in Venezuela by end of 2025?
2
Colombian•Álvaro Uribe•Venezuela•Nicolás Maduro•Cúcuta•Venezuelan•Uribe•United Nations•Maduro•María Corina Machado•Edmundo González•Iván Duque•Duque•International Criminal Court
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military intervention • 25%
Humanitarian intervention • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Reports from international organizations or major news agencies
Story
Uribe Calls for UN-Endorsed Military Intervention in Venezuela to Oust Maduro
Jan 11, 2025, 06:34 PM
Former Colombian President Álvaro Uribe has called for an international military intervention in Venezuela to oust the regime of Nicolás Maduro. Speaking at a political event in Cúcuta, near the Venezuelan border, Uribe advocated for an intervention preferably endorsed by the United Nations to remove 'those tyrants from power' and to immediately call for free elections. This call was made in response to Maduro's recent inauguration for the 2025-2031 term, which Uribe and other opposition figures claim was fraudulent. Uribe expressed support for Venezuelan opposition leaders María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, referring to them as 'universal champions of democracy.' Additionally, former President Iván Duque echoed Uribe's sentiments, urging Edmundo González to call for an international humanitarian intervention to restore democracy in Venezuela and protect human rights. Duque suggested that such an intervention should be accompanied by a request to the International Criminal Court to expedite an arrest warrant for Maduro.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No military intervention • 25%
UN-backed intervention occurs • 25%
Non-UN international intervention occurs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
Regional coalition • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Colombia • 25%
Other • 25%
Multinational Coalition • 25%
United States • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Human Rights Violations • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Democratic Transition • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
González takes office • 25%