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What will be the outcome of Libya's political negotiations by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Comprehensive agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks break down • 25%
Official announcements from Libya's government or recognized international news agencies
Story
Libya's Factions Nominate Naji Issa as Interim Central Bank Governor to Resolve Crisis, Restore Oil Production
Sep 25, 2024, 04:52 PM
Libya's eastern and western administrations have agreed to nominate Naji Issa as the interim central bank governor, a lawmaker said. This agreement is seen as an initial step towards resolving the ongoing crisis and restoring oil production in the OPEC member nation. The crisis talks have resumed as the oil blockade nears its second month, with rival governments at odds over the central bank head. The standoff has significantly reduced crude output and sparked intense mediation efforts. The country's two legislative bodies, including the House of Representatives based in the eastern region, are involved in the discussions.
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Eastern government wins • 25%
Tripoli-based government wins • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
National unity government formed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
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New government formed • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Protests end with no major impact • 25%
Protests lead to temporary shutdown • 25%
Protests lead to long-term shutdown • 25%
Other • 25%
Major overhaul announced • 25%
Minor improvements announced • 25%
No changes announced • 25%
New projects initiated • 25%
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Negotiations ongoing • 25%
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Peace Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased Hostilities • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Qasab Group • 25%
Al-Shurafa Group • 25%
Libyan Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Temporary Truce • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%