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What will be the outcome of legal disputes over the 2024 election results in key swing states by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Trump's victory upheld • 25%
Recount ordered • 25%
New election ordered • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Court rulings and official announcements
Story
Electoral College Confirms Donald Trump’s Victory with 304 Votes Over Kamala Harris; Certification Set for January 6
Dec 17, 2024, 09:05 PM
On December 17, 2024, the Electoral College convened across all 50 states to formally cast votes for the presidency, confirming Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 election. Trump received 304 electoral votes, surpassing the required 270 to secure the presidency. The electors' votes are set to be certified on January 6, 2025. In various states, including Texas and Florida, Republican electors officially cast their ballots for Trump and his vice-presidential pick, J.D. Vance. This event marks a significant step toward Trump's inauguration as the 47th President of the United States on January 20, 2025. While the process unfolded smoothly in most states, there are reports of alternate elector slates being assembled by Democrats in key swing states, raising the potential for future disputes regarding the election results.
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No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Court overturns results in one or more states • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Reversal of results • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Results upheld • 25%
Results overturned • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Trump confirmed as winner • 25%
Harris confirmed as winner • 25%
Significant changes in state results • 25%
No change in results • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Challenges upheld • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
Trump wins a significant legal challenge • 25%
Biden wins a significant legal challenge • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Harris wins all challenges • 25%
Trump wins all challenges • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Victory upheld • 25%
Victory overturned • 25%
Partial changes to results • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
McCormick's victory upheld • 25%
Casey declared winner • 25%
Re-election ordered • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
