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What will be the outcome of any recounts or legal challenges in the 2024 election by March 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trump confirmed as winner • 25%
Harris confirmed as winner • 25%
Significant changes in state results • 25%
No change in results • 25%
Official court rulings or state election board announcements
Story
Donald Trump Declares Victory Over Kamala Harris in 2024 Presidential Election, Projected by Fox News Just After 1 a.m.
Nov 6, 2024, 10:11 AM
Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, has claimed victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, defeating Democrat Kamala Harris. Fox News projected Trump's win early Wednesday, marking a significant political comeback for the former president, who left office four years ago. Trump's victory speech indicated he is poised to reclaim the White House, following projected wins in key battleground states. This election result is expected to usher in another era of uncertainty in U.S. politics, as Trump returns to power after a surprising defeat of the sitting Vice President. The election results were confirmed just after 1 a.m. on Wednesday, November 6, 2024.
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Similar markets
Trump remains President-elect • 25%
Harris declared winner • 25%
Re-election ordered • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Court overturns results in one or more states • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Reversal of results • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Challenges upheld • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
Harris wins all challenges • 25%
Trump wins all challenges • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Results upheld • 25%
Results overturned • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Trump's victory upheld • 25%
Recount ordered • 25%
New election ordered • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Trump wins a significant legal challenge • 25%
Biden wins a significant legal challenge • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Victory upheld • 25%
Victory overturned • 25%
Partial changes to results • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Recounts change outcome • 25%
Recounts confirm Trump win • 25%
Recounts confirm Biden win • 25%
No significant recount impact • 25%
