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What will be the outcome of any legal challenges to the 2024 Presidential Election results by February 28, 2025?
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Donald Trump•US presidential election•Democratic•Kamala Harris•Trump•Wisconsin•Pennsylvania•Michigan•United States•Grover Cleveland•Florida•America•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Court overturns results in one or more states • 25%
Other • 25%
Court rulings or official announcements from relevant legal authorities, reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Secures Presidency with Wisconsin Win, Becomes First to Serve Non-Consecutive Terms Since Cleveland
Nov 6, 2024, 10:41 AM
Donald Trump has declared victory in the 2024 US presidential election, with multiple news outlets projecting him as the winner over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. Trump surpassed the required 270 electoral votes after securing key battleground states, including Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, amassing a total of 277 electoral votes. He is set to become the 47th President of the United States, marking a historic political comeback four years after leaving office and becoming the first president since Grover Cleveland to serve non-consecutive terms. Trump addressed supporters in Florida, stating that America has given him an unprecedented and powerful mandate, and promised to help 'heal' the country. World leaders, including the Saudi King and Crown Prince, as well as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, have extended their congratulations. Kamala Harris has not yet conceded the race. Financial markets reacted positively, with stock futures surging and European markets gaining on news of Trump's victory.
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No significant changes • 25%
Recount in one or more states • 25%
Reversal of results • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Challenges upheld • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
Results upheld • 25%
Results overturned • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Trump wins a significant legal challenge • 25%
Biden wins a significant legal challenge • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Harris wins all challenges • 25%
Trump wins all challenges • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Trump confirmed as winner • 25%
Harris confirmed as winner • 25%
Significant changes in state results • 25%
No change in results • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Trump's victory upheld • 25%
Recount ordered • 25%
New election ordered • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Victory upheld • 25%
Victory overturned • 25%
Partial changes to results • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
