Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Israel's potential attack on Iran's nuclear facilities by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful attack with no retaliation • 25%
Successful attack with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Unsuccessful attack • 25%
No attack occurs • 25%
Official statements from involved governments and credible international news agencies
Story
Israel Decides to Attack Iran's Nuclear Facilities, U.S. President-Elect Donald Trump Expected to Apply Maximum Pressure
Jan 18, 2025, 09:12 PM
Senior European officials have indicated that Israel has made the decision to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. This assessment follows recent developments in the Middle East and comes in the context of discussions between the incoming U.S. administration under President-Elect Donald Trump and Israel. A senior European diplomat stated, 'we believe Israel has taken the decision to attack following the developments in the Middle East over the last several months.' Sources suggest that the U.S. is expected to exert maximum pressure on Iran immediately after the inauguration.
View original story
Similar markets
Unsuccessful strikes • 25%
No strikes conducted • 25%
Successful strikes with no retaliation • 25%
Successful strikes with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Strike occurs but is unsuccessful • 25%
Strike is canceled • 25%
Strike occurs and is successful • 25%
Strike is postponed indefinitely • 25%
Full-scale military intervention • 25%
Limited strikes • 25%
Other • 25%
No military action • 25%
Strike executed successfully • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Strike delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Strike called off • 25%
No decision • 25%
Strike rejected • 25%
Strike postponed • 25%
Strike approved • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Only U.S. strikes • 25%
Only Israel strikes • 25%
Both Israel and U.S. strike • 25%
No military action • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Carried out as planned • 25%
Modified • 25%
Delayed further • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
Joint Military Operation • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%