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What will be the outcome of Israel's military operations against Iranian proxy groups by the end of 2024?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Beirut•Middle East•Netanyahu•Israel•Nasrallah•Iran•Iranian•Lebanon
Resolution / Starting Odds
Israel achieves significant military success • 25%
Iranian proxy groups gain upper hand • 25%
Stalemate with no clear winner • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Verified news reports from major outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Netanyahu Declares Nasrallah's Death in Beirut Airstrike a Turning Point, Warns Iran of Israel's Reach
Sep 30, 2024, 01:56 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has declared the killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in an airstrike in Beirut as a 'historic turning point' and a significant shift in the balance of power in the Middle East. Netanyahu emphasized that Israel's military actions, including the airstrike in Beirut that killed Nasrallah, demonstrate Israel's ability to reach any target in the region. He warned Iran directly, stating that there is no place in the Middle East beyond Israel's reach and suggested that the fall of Iran's regime could come sooner than expected. Netanyahu's remarks come amid heightened tensions and ongoing military operations against Iranian proxy groups in Lebanon and other regions.
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Successful strike with Arab support • 25%
Unsuccessful strike • 25%
No strike occurs • 25%
Strike occurs but without Arab support • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Significant financial damage to Iran • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Successful with minimal escalation • 25%
Leads to broader conflict • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant damage to IRGC infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage with high casualties • 25%
Operation aborted or unsuccessful • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations successfully destroy Hezbollah border sites • 25%
Operations partially successful • 25%
Operations fail • 25%
Operations lead to escalation • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah strengthens • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased operational success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased Iranian defense capabilities • 25%
De-escalation of tensions • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah moderately weakened • 25%
Hezbollah remains strong • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
De-escalation and peace talks • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other significant developments • 25%