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Outcome of Israeli airstrikes on Iran-backed factions in Syria by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military tensions • 25%
De-escalation and peace talks • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other significant developments • 25%
Reports from reputable news agencies and official military statements
Story
Israeli Airstrikes on Palmyra Kill Four Iran-Backed Fighters, Injure Five
Nov 20, 2024, 11:18 AM
Explosions were heard in Palmyra, central Syria, on Wednesday. Syrian state media reported that heavy Israeli airstrikes targeted residential buildings and the industrial zone near historical sites in the city, resulting in five injuries. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights stated that four members of Iran-aligned factions were killed in the strikes. The attack marks a significant escalation in the region, targeting both civilian areas and sites linked to Iranian-backed militias.
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Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased Israeli-Russian tensions • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
None • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
Further Israeli airstrikes • 25%
Russian military response • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Israel achieves significant military success • 25%
Iranian proxy groups gain upper hand • 25%
Stalemate with no clear winner • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Successful strike with Arab support • 25%
Unsuccessful strike • 25%
No strike occurs • 25%
Strike occurs but without Arab support • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
