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What will be the outcome of Israel's appeal against ICC jurisdiction by end of 2025?
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International Criminal Court•ICC•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Yoav Gallant•Hamas•Mohammed Deif•Gaza•Israel•Netanyahu•Gallant
Resolution / Starting Odds
ICC accepts jurisdiction • 25%
ICC rejects jurisdiction • 25%
Appeal is still pending • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official ICC announcements
Story
Israel Appeals ICC War Crimes Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant, and Deif; Rejects Court's Jurisdiction
Nov 27, 2024, 04:10 PM
On November 21, the International Criminal Court (ICC) issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and Hamas leader Mohammed Deif, accusing them of war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza. The charges include the use of starvation as a weapon of war, blocking aid, murder, persecution, and failing to protect the civilian population. This development constitutes a watershed moment for Israel's image and international legitimacy, deepening its global isolation and posing one of the most challenging situations it has ever faced in the international arena. Israel has rejected the ICC's jurisdiction and announced plans to appeal the decision and request to suspend the arrest warrants. Netanyahu has decided to notify the ICC that Israel will appeal the warrants against him and Gallant, asserting that the decision lacks any factual or legal basis.
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Similar markets
Appeal successful, warrants revoked • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
Appeal partially successful, conditions modified • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Appeal successful, warrants withdrawn • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
Appeal partially successful, warrants modified • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Warrants upheld • 25%
Warrants overturned • 25%
Jurisdiction not recognized • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Appeal Partially Accepted • 25%
Withdrawn by Israel • 25%
Investigation opened • 25%
Investigation blocked • 25%
Investigation delayed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Pursue charges against Netanyahu • 25%
Pursue charges against Gallant • 25%
Pursue charges against both • 25%
Do not pursue charges • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
Convictions obtained • 25%
Cooperate with ICC • 25%
Reject ICC jurisdiction • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other response • 25%
