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What will be the outcome of Israel's ICC appeal by end of 2024?
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Israel•International Criminal Court•ICC•Benjamin Netanyahu•Yoav Gallant•Gaza•Israeli Army Radio•Netanyahu•Gallant•France•Italy
Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal successful, warrants revoked • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
Appeal partially successful, conditions modified • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Official ICC announcements and legal documents
Story
Israel Appeals ICC Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant Over Gaza War Crimes
Dec 15, 2024, 02:56 PM
Israel has officially appealed the arrest warrants issued by the International Criminal Court (ICC) against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. The warrants, issued in November, were based on allegations of war crimes and crimes against humanity committed in Gaza. The appeal was reported by Israeli Army Radio on Sunday, marking a formal challenge to the ICC's decision. Israel's action comes in response to the ICC's unprecedented move to issue arrest warrants for leaders of a democratic country, with 123 member states. The appeal reflects Israel's ongoing contention with the court's jurisdiction, as it is not a member state of the ICC. This legal battle has significant implications for Netanyahu and Gallant's international travel, potentially restricting their movements to countries not bound by ICC decisions. France has claimed that Netanyahu has immunity from ICC actions, while Italy has stated it is not feasible to arrest Netanyahu as long as he remains head of Israel's government.
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Similar markets
ICC accepts jurisdiction • 25%
ICC rejects jurisdiction • 25%
Appeal is still pending • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal successful, warrants withdrawn • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
Appeal partially successful, warrants modified • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Warrants upheld • 25%
Warrants overturned • 25%
Jurisdiction not recognized • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Appeal Partially Accepted • 25%
Withdrawn by Israel • 25%
Majority support Israel • 25%
Majority oppose Israel • 25%
Neutral or mixed responses • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Investigation opened • 25%
Investigation blocked • 25%
Investigation delayed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No action taken • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
Convictions obtained • 25%
Pursue charges against Netanyahu • 25%
Pursue charges against Gallant • 25%
Pursue charges against both • 25%
Do not pursue charges • 25%
