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Market
Will ICC jurisdiction be contested successfully by Israel by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
ICC rulings and legal announcements
Story
Israel Appeals ICC Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant Over War Crimes Accusations
Dec 15, 2024, 11:39 AM
Israel has officially filed an appeal with the International Criminal Court (ICC) against arrest warrants issued for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. The Israeli Deputy Attorney General confirmed that the appeal challenges what they describe as an unlawful decision by the ICC. This legal action comes in response to accusations of war crimes against both officials. The Israeli government is asserting its position in this unprecedented case, emphasizing its commitment to contesting the ICC's jurisdiction and decisions. The appeal was filed amid ongoing tensions surrounding the situation in Israel and the broader geopolitical landscape.
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Charges filed • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Convictions obtained • 25%
Appeal successful, warrants revoked • 25%
Appeal partially successful, conditions modified • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, warrants upheld • 25%
No decision by end of 2024 • 25%
Against Israel • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
In favor of Israel • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Increase legitimacy • 25%
Decrease legitimacy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full investigation launched • 25%
Insufficient evidence to proceed • 25%
Investigation deferred • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
